Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-27 19:45
Fylde – Hartlepool
Home
43%
2.3 fair
Draw
25%
3.98 fair
Away
31%
3.19 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Fylde – Hartlepool
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Fylde – Hartlepool
Expected Goals2.8
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.2%
→
43.5%
-1.7 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
25.1%
+1.1 pp
Away
30.7%
→
31.4%
+0.6 pp
Over 2.5
55.2%
→
53.6%
-1.6 pp
Both teams to score
57.8%
→
56.5%
-1.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.9 →
2.8
-0.1
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
Both halves
| 12.3% | 8.14 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.86 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.76 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.74 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.55 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.88 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.47 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — |
Total goals
| 93.9% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — |
Both to score
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — |
Corners
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Away corners
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
Cards
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds