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Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-24 14:00

Hartlepool – Hornchurch

Home 39% 2.6 fair
Draw 28% 3.62 fair
Away 34% 2.96 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Hartlepool – Hornchurch
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Hartlepool – Hornchurch
Expected Goals2.33
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.541%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.3% → 38.5% +4.2 pp
Draw 27.7% → 27.6% -0.1 pp
Away 38.0% → 33.8% -4.1 pp
Over 2.5 42.5% → 40.9% -1.6 pp
Both teams to score 48.5% → 47.4% -1.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.33 -0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.36 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.35 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.5% 2.6 —
27.6% 3.62 —
33.8% 2.96 —
66.1% 1.51 —
61.5% 1.63 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Half-time result

31.2% 3.21 —
48.4% 2.07 —
20.4% 4.9 —

Half-time double chance

79.6% 1.26 —
68.8% 1.45 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Both halves

8.9% 11.26 —

HT/FT

22.7% 4.4 —
5.8% 17.3 —
14.4% 6.96 —
18.3% 5.46 —
15.7% 6.36 —
3.5% 28.17 —
15.4% 6.49 —

HT/FT double chance

61.2% 1.64 —
55.5% 1.8 —
42.5% 2.35 —
33.5% 2.99 —
42.3% 2.36 —
27.5% 3.64 —
37.7% 2.65 —
46.9% 2.13 —
53.0% 1.89 —

Total goals

90.3% 1.11 —
67.1% 1.49 —
40.9% 2.45 —
20.6% 4.84 —
32.9% 3.04 —
59.1% 1.69 —
79.3% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

60.4% 1.65 —
23.7% 4.22 —

Home team goals

70.4% 1.42 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Away team goals

67.4% 1.48 —
30.7% 3.25 —

Both to score

47.4% 2.11 —

Corners

79.4% 1.26 —
68.9% 1.45 —
57.3% 1.74 —
45.6% 2.19 —
34.7% 2.88 —
31.1% 3.21 —
42.7% 2.34 —
54.4% 1.84 —
65.3% 1.53 —

Home corners

82.7% 1.21 —
69.1% 1.45 —
53.1% 1.88 —

Away corners

63.3% 1.58 —
44.8% 2.23 —
28.9% 3.46 —

Cards

62.4% 1.6 —
42.5% 2.35 —
25.6% 3.91 —
13.8% 7.24 —
57.5% 1.74 —
74.4% 1.34 —
86.2% 1.16 —

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