Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Belgium / 2026-09-13 15:00

Genk Gent

Home 49% 2.05 fair
Draw 25% 4.0 fair
Away 26% 3.8 fair
Expected Goals2.76
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.552%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.97 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 3.96 model adds signal (+2.9%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.7% 2.05 47.4% 1.91
25.0% 4.0 25.9% 3.50
26.3% 3.8 26.7% 3.40
73.7% 1.36
51.3% 1.95
75.0% 1.33

Half-time result

37.3% 2.68
38.9% 2.57
23.9% 4.19

Half-time double chance

76.1% 1.31
62.7% 1.59
61.1% 1.64

Both halves

14.5% 6.88

HT/FT

30.7% 3.26
5.2% 19.19
15.4% 6.5
14.4% 6.96
9.1% 10.96
5.4% 18.45
15.8% 6.32

HT/FT double chance

65.6% 1.52
56.6% 1.77
30.1% 3.32
43.9% 2.28
50.5% 1.98
27.8% 3.59
37.8% 2.65
43.0% 2.33
44.7% 2.24

Total goals

94.0% 1.06
76.6% 1.31
52.1% 1.92 52.6% 1.80
30.4% 3.29
23.4% 4.27
47.9% 2.09 47.4% 2.00
69.6% 1.44

1st-half goals

74.0% 1.35
38.5% 2.6

Home team goals

80.7% 1.24
48.4% 2.07

Away team goals

68.6% 1.46
31.9% 3.14

Both to score

55.3% 1.81

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

73.1% 1.37
63.0% 1.59
52.5% 1.9
41.9% 2.39
32.5% 3.07
37.0% 2.7
47.5% 2.11
58.1% 1.72
67.5% 1.48

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

80.2% 1.25
67.4% 1.48
53.4% 1.87

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

52.9% 1.89
36.1% 2.77
22.7% 4.41

Cards

71.5% 1.4
52.9% 1.89
35.9% 2.79
22.6% 4.43
47.1% 2.12
64.1% 1.56
77.4% 1.29

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds