Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-24 11:30
Harrogate – Sutton
Home
70%
1.43 fair
Draw
17%
5.97 fair
Away
13%
7.56 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Harrogate – Sutton
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Harrogate – Sutton
Expected Goals3.5
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.568%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
59.4%
→
70.0%
+10.6 pp
Draw
19.5%
→
16.7%
-2.8 pp
Away
21.1%
→
13.2%
-7.9 pp
Over 2.5
71.9%
→
67.7%
-4.2 pp
Both teams to score
67.9%
→
58.0%
-9.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.75 →
3.5
-0.25
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.97 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.56 | — | |||
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — |
HT/FT
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 8.8% | 11.31 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.84 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.61 | — | |||
| 8.8% | 11.33 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.47 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — |
Total goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — |
Both to score
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Away corners
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — |
Cards
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds