Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-23 18:45
Gateshead – Tamworth
Home
38%
2.62 fair
Draw
23%
4.3 fair
Away
39%
2.59 fair
Expected Goals3.29
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.1%
→
38.2%
-1.9 pp
Draw
22.8%
→
23.3%
+0.5 pp
Away
37.2%
→
38.5%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
64.8%
→
63.5%
-1.3 pp
Both teams to score
66.0%
→
65.0%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.33 →
3.29
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 10.3% | 9.75 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.71 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.33 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.36 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.37 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.12 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Total goals
| 96.4% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.19 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — |
Both to score
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Corners
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.52 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — |
Home corners
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — |
Away corners
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — |
Cards
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds