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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-29

Udinese – Fiorentina

Home 31% 3.26 fair
Draw 26% 3.92 fair
Away 44% 2.29 fair
Expected Goals2.77
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.4% → 30.7% -4.6 pp
Draw 25.4% → 25.5% +0.1 pp
Away 39.2% → 43.8% +4.5 pp
Over 2.5 49.1% → 52.2% +3.1 pp
Both teams to score 52.9% → 56.0% +3.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.64 → 2.77 +0.13
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.08 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.62 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

30.7% 3.26 —
25.5% 3.92 —
43.8% 2.29 —
56.2% 1.78 —
69.3% 1.44 —
74.5% 1.34 —

Half-time result

27.9% 3.58 —
41.8% 2.4 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Half-time double chance

69.7% 1.44 —
72.1% 1.39 —
58.2% 1.72 —

Both halves

7.3% 13.76 —

HT/FT

18.8% 5.33 —
5.8% 17.12 —
3.3% 30.3 —
10.5% 9.51 —
15.0% 6.67 —
16.2% 6.16 —
4.7% 21.32 —
24.2% 4.13 —

HT/FT double chance

50.1% 2.0 —
48.8% 2.05 —
40.4% 2.48 —
30.7% 3.25 —
47.7% 2.1 —
38.0% 2.63 —
31.6% 3.16 —
52.4% 1.91 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Total goals

93.7% 1.07 —
76.7% 1.3 —
52.2% 1.92 —
30.2% 3.31 —
23.3% 4.29 —
47.8% 2.09 —
69.8% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

70.4% 1.42 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Home team goals

71.6% 1.4 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Away team goals

78.2% 1.28 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Both to score

56.0% 1.79 —

Corners

64.4% 1.55 —
53.1% 1.88 —
41.8% 2.39 —
32.0% 3.13 —
23.7% 4.22 —
46.9% 2.13 —
58.2% 1.72 —
68.0% 1.47 —
76.3% 1.31 —

Home corners

60.6% 1.65 —
44.1% 2.27 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Away corners

62.4% 1.6 —
46.9% 2.13 —
32.6% 3.07 —

Cards

79.4% 1.26 —
64.3% 1.55 —
47.8% 2.09 —
32.7% 3.06 —
35.7% 2.8 —
52.2% 1.92 —
67.3% 1.49 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds