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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-29

Sassuolo – Napoli

Home 18% 5.42 fair
Draw 22% 4.59 fair
Away 60% 1.67 fair
Expected Goals2.96
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 21.3% → 18.4% -2.9 pp
Draw 23.7% → 21.8% -2.0 pp
Away 54.9% → 59.8% +4.9 pp
Over 2.5 51.1% → 56.5% +5.4 pp
Both teams to score 51.9% → 54.1% +2.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.73 → 2.96 +0.23
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.18 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.01 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

18.4% 5.42 —
21.8% 4.59 —
59.8% 1.67 —
40.2% 2.49 —
81.6% 1.23 —
78.2% 1.28 —

Half-time result

16.5% 6.05 —
38.2% 2.62 —
45.2% 2.21 —

Half-time double chance

54.8% 1.83 —
83.5% 1.2 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Both halves

3.3% 30.03 —

HT/FT

9.6% 10.41 —
4.1% 24.15 —
7.4% 13.5 —
12.7% 7.88 —
18.1% 5.51 —
4.9% 20.28 —
38.9% 2.57 —

HT/FT double chance

33.9% 2.95 —
37.9% 2.64 —
37.7% 2.65 —
20.1% 4.98 —
52.7% 1.9 —
50.7% 1.97 —
26.5% 3.78 —
65.8% 1.52 —
74.7% 1.34 —

Total goals

94.7% 1.06 —
78.9% 1.27 —
56.5% 1.77 —
34.1% 2.94 —
21.1% 4.73 —
43.5% 2.3 —
65.9% 1.52 —

1st-half goals

72.7% 1.38 —
37.7% 2.65 —

Home team goals

63.0% 1.59 —
26.3% 3.81 —

Away team goals

85.9% 1.16 —
58.0% 1.72 —

Both to score

54.1% 1.85 —

Corners

64.8% 1.54 —
53.8% 1.86 —
42.7% 2.34 —
33.1% 3.02 —
24.7% 4.05 —
46.2% 2.17 —
57.3% 1.75 —
66.8% 1.5 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Home corners

48.8% 2.05 —
32.5% 3.08 —
20.1% 4.97 —

Away corners

73.0% 1.37 —
58.8% 1.7 —
44.3% 2.26 —

Cards

72.4% 1.38 —
54.4% 1.84 —
36.9% 2.71 —
23.5% 4.26 —
45.6% 2.19 —
63.1% 1.59 —
76.5% 1.31 —

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