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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-29

Roma – Monza

Home 78% 1.29 fair
Draw 14% 7.13 fair
Away 8% 12.21 fair
Expected Goals3.42
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.566%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 76.3% → 77.8% +1.5 pp
Draw 15.3% → 14.0% -1.3 pp
Away 8.4% → 8.2% -0.2 pp
Over 2.5 60.3% → 66.2% +5.9 pp
Both teams to score 45.1% → 49.5% +4.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.13 → 3.42 +0.29
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.66 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.83 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

77.8% 1.29 —
14.0% 7.13 —
8.2% 12.21 —
91.8% 1.09 —
22.2% 4.5 —
86.0% 1.16 —

Half-time result

60.3% 1.66 —
31.3% 3.19 —
8.4% 11.93 —

Half-time double chance

91.6% 1.09 —
39.7% 2.52 —
68.7% 1.46 —

Both halves

36.8% 2.72 —

HT/FT

56.0% 1.78 —
3.4% 29.15 —
19.2% 5.2 —
8.2% 12.21 —
3.9% 25.71 —
3.5% 28.74 —

HT/FT double chance

86.9% 1.15 —
80.0% 1.25 —
16.4% 6.12 —
64.4% 1.55 —
62.9% 1.59 —
10.1% 9.86 —
32.3% 3.09 —
29.1% 3.44 —
18.0% 5.56 —

Total goals

96.7% 1.03 —
85.6% 1.17 —
66.2% 1.51 —
44.3% 2.26 —
14.4% 6.94 —
33.8% 2.96 —
55.7% 1.8 —

1st-half goals

76.9% 1.3 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Home team goals

92.9% 1.08 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Away team goals

53.3% 1.87 —
17.7% 5.65 —

Both to score

49.5% 2.02 —

Corners

59.5% 1.68 —
48.1% 2.08 —
37.3% 2.68 —
27.9% 3.59 —
20.5% 4.88 —
51.9% 1.93 —
62.7% 1.59 —
72.2% 1.39 —
79.5% 1.26 —

Home corners

72.0% 1.39 —
57.3% 1.74 —
43.1% 2.32 —

Away corners

40.6% 2.46 —
24.9% 4.02 —
14.3% 6.97 —

Cards

81.7% 1.22 —
67.1% 1.49 —
50.9% 1.96 —
35.4% 2.83 —
32.9% 3.04 —
49.1% 2.04 —
64.6% 1.55 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds