Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-11-20
Metz – Boulogne
Home
54%
1.87 fair
Draw
24%
4.11 fair
Away
22%
4.52 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.2%
→
53.6%
-9.6 pp
Draw
22.8%
→
24.3%
+1.6 pp
Away
14.1%
→
22.1%
+8.0 pp
Over 2.5
44.9%
→
49.4%
+4.5 pp
Both teams to score
41.5%
→
50.5%
+9.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.47 →
2.66
+0.19
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.21 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.53 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.78 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.12 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.86 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.74 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.89 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.28 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — |
Total goals
| 92.8% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — |
Both to score
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
Corners
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — |
Away corners
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — |
Cards
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds