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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-11-20

Metz – Boulogne

Home 54% 1.87 fair
Draw 24% 4.11 fair
Away 22% 4.52 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 63.2% → 53.6% -9.6 pp
Draw 22.8% → 24.3% +1.6 pp
Away 14.1% → 22.1% +8.0 pp
Over 2.5 44.9% → 49.4% +4.5 pp
Both teams to score 41.5% → 50.5% +9.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.47 → 2.66 +0.19
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.33 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.6% 1.87 —
24.3% 4.11 —
22.1% 4.52 —
77.9% 1.28 —
46.4% 2.15 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Half-time result

50.3% 1.99 —
41.5% 2.41 —
8.2% 12.21 —

Half-time double chance

91.8% 1.09 —
49.7% 2.01 —
58.5% 1.71 —

Both halves

16.5% 6.06 —

HT/FT

38.7% 2.58 —
8.0% 12.53 —
3.6% 27.78 —
14.0% 7.12 —
14.6% 6.86 —
12.9% 7.74 —
5.6% 17.89 —

HT/FT double chance

75.3% 1.33 —
69.2% 1.44 —
39.1% 2.56 —
49.3% 2.03 —
48.7% 2.05 —
18.9% 5.28 —
31.2% 3.2 —
33.4% 3.0 —
34.9% 2.87 —

Total goals

92.8% 1.08 —
73.9% 1.35 —
49.4% 2.03 —
27.6% 3.62 —
26.1% 3.83 —
50.6% 1.97 —
72.4% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

64.0% 1.56 —
27.5% 3.64 —

Home team goals

80.9% 1.24 —
49.6% 2.01 —

Away team goals

62.4% 1.6 —
26.0% 3.85 —

Both to score

50.5% 1.98 —

Corners

65.6% 1.53 —
54.2% 1.85 —
43.5% 2.3 —
33.2% 3.01 —
24.2% 4.14 —
45.8% 2.18 —
56.5% 1.77 —
66.8% 1.5 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Home corners

72.6% 1.38 —
58.3% 1.72 —
43.4% 2.31 —

Away corners

51.3% 1.95 —
34.6% 2.89 —
21.4% 4.66 —

Cards

75.3% 1.33 —
59.0% 1.7 —
42.2% 2.37 —
28.6% 3.49 —
41.0% 2.44 —
57.8% 1.73 —
71.4% 1.4 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds