Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-11-06 19:00
Montpellier – Metz
Home
48%
2.08 fair
Draw
27%
3.7 fair
Away
25%
4.0 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Montpellier – Metz
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
Montpellier – Metz
Expected Goals2.33
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
33.1%
→
48.0%
+14.9 pp
Draw
31.5%
→
27.0%
-4.5 pp
Away
35.4%
→
25.0%
-10.4 pp
Over 2.5
32.5%
→
41.0%
+8.6 pp
Both teams to score
40.2%
→
44.9%
+4.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.01 →
2.33
+0.32
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
Both halves
| 10.8% | 9.25 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.64 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.0 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.79 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.45 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — |
Total goals
| 89.8% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — |
Both to score
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — |
Corners
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — |
Away corners
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
Cards
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds