Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-10-30 19:00
Metz – Pau FC
Home
63%
1.59 fair
Draw
20%
5.11 fair
Away
18%
5.69 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Metz – Pau FC
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
Metz – Pau FC
Expected Goals3.42
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
67.7%
→
62.9%
-4.8 pp
Draw
18.6%
→
19.6%
+1.0 pp
Away
13.7%
→
17.6%
+3.8 pp
Over 2.5
61.5%
→
65.7%
+4.2 pp
Both teams to score
53.9%
→
60.6%
+6.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.22 →
3.42
+0.2
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.7 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.1% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — |
Both halves
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — |
HT/FT
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 19.01 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.4 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.47 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.16 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.74 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.56 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Total goals
| 96.4% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.3% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — |
Both to score
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — |
Corners
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
Away corners
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — |
Cards
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds