Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-29
Porto – Sp Lisbon
Home
42%
2.38 fair
Draw
26%
3.78 fair
Away
32%
3.16 fair
Expected Goals2.55
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.1%
→
41.9%
-0.2 pp
Draw
26.2%
→
26.5%
+0.3 pp
Away
31.7%
→
31.6%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
47.4%
→
46.9%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
52.0%
→
51.5%
-0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.58 →
2.55
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.62 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
Both halves
| 10.5% | 9.55 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.81 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.08 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.67 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.49 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.24 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Total goals
| 92.0% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — |
Both to score
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
Corners
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.87 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — |
Home corners
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Away corners
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Cards
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds