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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-10-24 18:45

St Etienne – Nantes

Home 75% 1.33 fair
Draw 14% 7.02 fair
Away 10% 9.7 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-0 St Etienne – Nantes
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 St Etienne – Nantes
Expected Goals3.65
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.570%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 77.6% → 75.4% -2.1 pp
Draw 12.7% → 14.2% +1.6 pp
Away 9.8% → 10.3% +0.6 pp
Over 2.5 77.9% → 69.8% -8.1 pp
Both teams to score 62.6% → 56.0% -6.6 pp
Expected Goals 4.19 → 3.65 -0.54
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.44 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.13 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

75.4% 1.33 —
14.2% 7.02 —
10.3% 9.7 —
89.7% 1.11 —
24.6% 4.07 —
85.8% 1.17 —

Half-time result

59.2% 1.69 —
30.5% 3.28 —
10.3% 9.72 —

Half-time double chance

89.7% 1.11 —
40.8% 2.45 —
69.5% 1.44 —

Both halves

35.2% 2.84 —

HT/FT

54.4% 1.84 —
3.7% 26.81 —
18.1% 5.54 —
7.9% 12.67 —
4.5% 22.03 —
4.7% 21.46 —

HT/FT double chance

84.1% 1.19 —
78.1% 1.28 —
17.3% 5.79 —
63.8% 1.57 —
63.2% 1.58 —
12.1% 8.24 —
31.6% 3.17 —
30.2% 3.31 —
19.7% 5.07 —

Total goals

86.8% 1.15 —
69.8% 1.43 —
49.5% 2.02 —
13.2% 7.57 —
30.2% 3.31 —
50.4% 1.98 —

1st-half goals

79.1% 1.26 —
47.2% 2.12 —

Home team goals

92.8% 1.08 —
74.9% 1.33 —

Away team goals

60.2% 1.66 —
23.3% 4.28 —

Both to score

56.0% 1.79 —

Corners

67.8% 1.47 —
56.9% 1.76 —
45.7% 2.19 —
35.7% 2.8 —
26.8% 3.73 —
43.1% 2.32 —
54.3% 1.84 —
64.3% 1.56 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Home corners

69.3% 1.44 —
53.9% 1.86 —
39.0% 2.56 —

Away corners

60.5% 1.65 —
43.3% 2.31 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Cards

73.2% 1.37 —
56.0% 1.79 —
38.9% 2.57 —
25.2% 3.96 —
44.0% 2.27 —
61.2% 1.64 —
74.8% 1.34 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds