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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-10-24 12:00

Montpellier – Red Star

Home 47% 2.12 fair
Draw 31% 3.27 fair
Away 22% 4.49 fair
Expected Goals1.99
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score37%
Over 2.532%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.3% → 47.2% +3.9 pp
Draw 31.0% → 30.6% -0.4 pp
Away 25.7% → 22.2% -3.4 pp
Over 2.5 31.3% → 32.0% +0.7 pp
Both teams to score 37.6% → 37.4% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 1.96 → 1.99 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.34 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.2% 2.12 —
30.6% 3.27 —
22.2% 4.49 —
77.8% 1.29 —
52.8% 1.89 —
69.4% 1.44 —

Half-time result

24.8% 4.04 —
50.1% 2.0 —
25.2% 3.97 —

Half-time double chance

74.8% 1.34 —
75.3% 1.33 —
49.9% 2.0 —

Both halves

11.1% 9.03 —

HT/FT

21.9% 4.56 —
21.9% 4.56 —
21.7% 4.61 —
6.4% 15.53 —
3.3% 30.21 —
6.4% 15.67 —
15.5% 6.46 —

HT/FT double chance

68.0% 1.47 —
50.6% 1.98 —
30.9% 3.23 —
34.1% 2.93 —
41.1% 2.44 —
24.7% 4.05 —
53.3% 1.88 —
47.2% 2.12 —
50.0% 2.0 —

Total goals

85.5% 1.17 —
58.8% 1.7 —
32.0% 3.13 —
14.4% 6.96 —
41.2% 2.42 —
68.0% 1.47 —
85.6% 1.17 —

1st-half goals

58.7% 1.7 —
22.8% 4.38 —

Home team goals

70.5% 1.42 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Away team goals

52.4% 1.91 —
17.6% 5.68 —

Both to score

37.4% 2.67 —

Corners

67.8% 1.48 —
56.9% 1.76 —
46.0% 2.17 —
35.6% 2.81 —
26.6% 3.76 —
43.1% 2.32 —
54.0% 1.85 —
64.4% 1.55 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Home corners

70.6% 1.42 —
54.8% 1.82 —
40.1% 2.49 —

Away corners

58.9% 1.7 —
42.2% 2.37 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Cards

76.1% 1.31 —
59.4% 1.68 —
42.5% 2.35 —
28.5% 3.51 —
40.6% 2.46 —
57.5% 1.74 —
71.5% 1.4 —

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