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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-10-23 18:00

Dunkerque – Metz

Home 31% 3.21 fair
Draw 23% 4.26 fair
Away 45% 2.2 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Dunkerque – Metz
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Dunkerque – Metz
Expected Goals3.14
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 27.5% → 31.2% +3.7 pp
Draw 24.3% → 23.5% -0.9 pp
Away 48.2% → 45.4% -2.8 pp
Over 2.5 54.4% → 60.6% +6.2 pp
Both teams to score 56.7% → 61.5% +4.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.88 → 3.14 +0.26
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.09 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.15 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.2% 3.21 —
23.5% 4.26 —
45.4% 2.2 —
54.6% 1.83 —
68.8% 1.45 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

21.4% 4.68 —
40.8% 2.45 —
37.8% 2.64 —

Half-time double chance

62.2% 1.61 —
78.6% 1.27 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Both halves

7.1% 14.16 —

HT/FT

14.9% 6.72 —
4.1% 24.21 —
13.2% 7.56 —
13.2% 7.57 —
14.3% 6.97 —
3.1% 32.68 —
6.1% 16.29 —
28.6% 3.49 —

HT/FT double chance

45.4% 2.2 —
44.8% 2.23 —
34.1% 2.94 —
28.2% 3.55 —
48.9% 2.04 —
41.3% 2.42 —
35.6% 2.81 —
59.3% 1.69 —
62.3% 1.6 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
81.5% 1.23 —
60.6% 1.65 —
38.2% 2.62 —
18.5% 5.41 —
39.4% 2.54 —
61.8% 1.62 —

1st-half goals

70.7% 1.41 —
34.9% 2.86 —

Home team goals

75.0% 1.33 —
41.0% 2.44 —

Away team goals

81.7% 1.22 —
51.4% 1.95 —

Both to score

61.5% 1.63 —

Corners

64.5% 1.55 —
53.1% 1.88 —
42.1% 2.38 —
32.0% 3.13 —
23.5% 4.26 —
46.9% 2.13 —
57.9% 1.73 —
68.0% 1.47 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Home corners

67.9% 1.47 —
51.9% 1.93 —
37.0% 2.71 —

Away corners

56.7% 1.76 —
39.6% 2.53 —
25.9% 3.86 —

Cards

73.7% 1.36 —
55.8% 1.79 —
39.2% 2.55 —
25.7% 3.9 —
44.2% 2.26 —
60.8% 1.65 —
74.3% 1.35 —

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