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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-10-17 12:00

Metz – Sochaux

Home 51% 1.97 fair
Draw 30% 3.37 fair
Away 20% 5.11 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Metz – Sochaux
FINAL Actual Result 3–2 Metz – Sochaux
Expected Goals1.95
Both teams to score35%
Over 2.531%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.4% → 50.7% +0.3 pp
Draw 31.3% → 29.7% -1.6 pp
Away 18.3% → 19.6% +1.3 pp
Over 2.5 26.4% → 31.0% +4.6 pp
Both teams to score 31.1% → 35.4% +4.3 pp
Expected Goals 1.78 → 1.95 +0.17
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.52 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

50.7% 1.97 —
29.7% 3.37 —
19.6% 5.11 —
80.4% 1.24 —
49.2% 2.03 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Half-time result

42.2% 2.37 —
44.9% 2.23 —
12.9% 7.78 —

Half-time double chance

87.1% 1.15 —
57.8% 1.73 —
55.1% 1.82 —

Both halves

13.1% 7.66 —

HT/FT

35.6% 2.81 —
5.5% 18.32 —
14.3% 7.01 —
21.5% 4.66 —
9.2% 10.86 —
9.2% 10.89 —

HT/FT double chance

76.8% 1.3 —
60.2% 1.66 —
37.3% 2.68 —
44.7% 2.24 —
46.9% 2.13 —
18.6% 5.38 —
39.4% 2.54 —
33.6% 2.98 —
42.6% 2.35 —

Total goals

85.4% 1.17 —
57.8% 1.73 —
31.0% 3.23 —
13.6% 7.34 —
42.2% 2.37 —
69.0% 1.45 —
86.4% 1.16 —

1st-half goals

62.6% 1.6 —
26.5% 3.77 —

Home team goals

71.8% 1.39 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Away team goals

49.0% 2.04 —
14.8% 6.74 —

Both to score

35.4% 2.83 —

Corners

68.7% 1.46 —
57.6% 1.73 —
46.7% 2.14 —
36.2% 2.76 —
27.2% 3.68 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.3% 1.88 —
63.8% 1.57 —
72.8% 1.37 —

Home corners

75.2% 1.33 —
61.1% 1.64 —
46.4% 2.15 —

Away corners

53.9% 1.86 —
36.6% 2.73 —
22.9% 4.37 —

Cards

70.0% 1.43 —
51.7% 1.93 —
34.6% 2.89 —
21.7% 4.61 —
48.3% 2.07 —
65.4% 1.53 —
78.3% 1.28 —

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