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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-10-16 18:00

Guingamp – Pau FC

Home 48% 2.07 fair
Draw 23% 4.3 fair
Away 28% 3.52 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Guingamp – Pau FC
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Guingamp – Pau FC
Expected Goals3.12
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.9% → 48.4% -0.5 pp
Draw 23.7% → 23.3% -0.4 pp
Away 27.5% → 28.4% +0.9 pp
Over 2.5 59.7% → 59.9% +0.2 pp
Both teams to score 60.8% → 60.9% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.12 → 3.12 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.96 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.63 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.4% 2.07 —
23.3% 4.3 —
28.4% 3.52 —
71.6% 1.4 —
51.6% 1.94 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Half-time result

35.4% 2.82 —
37.7% 2.65 —
26.8% 3.73 —

Half-time double chance

73.2% 1.37 —
64.5% 1.55 —
62.3% 1.61 —

Both halves

15.0% 6.68 —

HT/FT

29.2% 3.42 —
4.5% 22.27 —
15.8% 6.35 —
13.1% 7.65 —
8.9% 11.24 —
3.4% 29.76 —
5.7% 17.54 —
17.8% 5.63 —

HT/FT double chance

62.6% 1.6 —
55.6% 1.8 —
28.2% 3.55 —
42.8% 2.34 —
52.1% 1.92 —
29.7% 3.37 —
37.9% 2.64 —
45.8% 2.18 —
45.4% 2.2 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
81.1% 1.23 —
59.9% 1.67 —
38.0% 2.64 —
18.9% 5.29 —
40.1% 2.5 —
62.0% 1.61 —

1st-half goals

76.3% 1.31 —
42.8% 2.34 —

Home team goals

82.8% 1.21 —
53.2% 1.88 —

Away team goals

73.3% 1.36 —
38.0% 2.63 —

Both to score

60.9% 1.64 —

Corners

63.3% 1.58 —
51.7% 1.93 —
40.7% 2.46 —
30.8% 3.25 —
22.2% 4.5 —
48.3% 2.07 —
59.3% 1.69 —
69.2% 1.45 —
77.8% 1.29 —

Home corners

70.9% 1.41 —
55.5% 1.8 —
40.1% 2.49 —

Away corners

50.7% 1.97 —
34.3% 2.91 —
21.2% 4.72 —

Cards

78.9% 1.27 —
63.1% 1.58 —
46.8% 2.14 —
32.8% 3.05 —
36.9% 2.71 —
53.2% 1.88 —
67.2% 1.49 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds