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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-29

Lyon – Monaco

Home 45% 2.2 fair
Draw 23% 4.26 fair
Away 31% 3.22 fair
Expected Goals3.07
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.1% → 45.4% +0.3 pp
Draw 22.9% → 23.5% +0.6 pp
Away 32.0% → 31.1% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 62.2% → 59.1% -3.0 pp
Both teams to score 63.3% → 60.8% -2.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.21 → 3.07 -0.14
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.53 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

45.4% 2.2 —
23.5% 4.26 —
31.1% 3.22 —
68.9% 1.45 —
54.6% 1.83 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

33.4% 3.0 —
41.6% 2.4 —
25.0% 4.0 —

Half-time double chance

75.0% 1.33 —
66.6% 1.5 —
58.4% 1.71 —

Both halves

13.3% 7.5 —

HT/FT

26.0% 3.85 —
5.1% 19.76 —
16.4% 6.11 —
13.3% 7.53 —
12.0% 8.35 —
3.1% 32.57 —
5.1% 19.49 —
16.8% 5.95 —

HT/FT double chance

60.7% 1.65 —
56.6% 1.77 —
32.6% 3.06 —
39.2% 2.55 —
48.2% 2.08 —
29.3% 3.41 —
37.9% 2.64 —
48.2% 2.07 —
47.2% 2.12 —

Total goals

95.3% 1.05 —
80.8% 1.24 —
59.1% 1.69 —
36.8% 2.72 —
19.2% 5.2 —
40.9% 2.45 —
63.2% 1.58 —

1st-half goals

70.0% 1.43 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Home team goals

81.5% 1.23 —
50.6% 1.98 —

Away team goals

74.6% 1.34 —
39.3% 2.54 —

Both to score

60.8% 1.65 —

Corners

73.5% 1.36 —
63.2% 1.58 —
52.8% 1.89 —
42.3% 2.37 —
32.5% 3.07 —
36.8% 2.72 —
47.2% 2.12 —
57.7% 1.73 —
67.5% 1.48 —

Home corners

71.8% 1.39 —
56.9% 1.76 —
42.3% 2.36 —

Away corners

65.5% 1.53 —
49.8% 2.01 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Cards

78.0% 1.28 —
62.1% 1.61 —
45.5% 2.2 —
31.1% 3.22 —
37.9% 2.64 —
54.5% 1.83 —
68.9% 1.45 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds