Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-29
Auxerre – Marseille
Home
24%
4.24 fair
Draw
22%
4.49 fair
Away
54%
1.85 fair
Expected Goals3.15
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
26.7%
→
23.6%
-3.2 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
22.3%
-1.7 pp
Away
49.3%
→
54.2%
+4.9 pp
Over 2.5
56.3%
→
60.8%
+4.5 pp
Both teams to score
58.2%
→
60.2%
+2.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.93 →
3.15
+0.22
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.4% | 8.05 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.76 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.27 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.63 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.91 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.31 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Total goals
| 95.7% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — |
Away team goals
| 85.3% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Both to score
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
Corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — |
Away corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — |
Cards
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds