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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-21

Strasbourg – Brest

Home 49% 2.04 fair
Draw 22% 4.46 fair
Away 29% 3.51 fair
Expected Goals3.29
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 52.5% → 49.1% -3.4 pp
Draw 22.1% → 22.4% +0.3 pp
Away 25.4% → 28.5% +3.2 pp
Over 2.5 61.8% → 63.8% +2.0 pp
Both teams to score 61.5% → 64.2% +2.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.2 → 3.29 +0.09
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.7 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.06 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.1% 2.04 —
22.4% 4.46 —
28.5% 3.51 —
71.5% 1.4 —
50.9% 1.96 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Half-time result

34.1% 2.93 —
37.6% 2.66 —
28.3% 3.53 —

Half-time double chance

71.7% 1.4 —
65.9% 1.52 —
62.4% 1.6 —

Both halves

15.2% 6.57 —

HT/FT

28.0% 3.57 —
4.3% 23.09 —
17.0% 5.9 —
11.8% 8.48 —
8.8% 11.33 —
4.1% 24.33 —
6.3% 15.92 —
17.9% 5.57 —

HT/FT double chance

61.1% 1.64 —
55.5% 1.8 —
26.7% 3.75 —
42.7% 2.34 —
51.8% 1.93 —
30.3% 3.3 —
39.1% 2.56 —
47.8% 2.09 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
83.9% 1.19 —
63.8% 1.57 —
41.6% 2.4 —
16.1% 6.21 —
36.2% 2.76 —
58.4% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

76.8% 1.3 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Home team goals

85.0% 1.18 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Away team goals

75.4% 1.33 —
40.4% 2.47 —

Both to score

64.2% 1.56 —

Corners

60.7% 1.65 —
49.1% 2.04 —
37.5% 2.67 —
27.9% 3.59 —
19.9% 5.04 —
50.9% 1.97 —
62.5% 1.6 —
72.1% 1.39 —
80.1% 1.25 —

Home corners

65.7% 1.52 —
49.8% 2.01 —
35.3% 2.83 —

Away corners

52.4% 1.91 —
35.8% 2.79 —
21.9% 4.56 —

Cards

73.0% 1.37 —
55.0% 1.82 —
37.9% 2.64 —
24.3% 4.12 —
45.0% 2.22 —
62.1% 1.61 —
75.7% 1.32 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds