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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-21

Monaco – Auxerre

Home 62% 1.6 fair
Draw 21% 4.86 fair
Away 17% 5.89 fair
Expected Goals3.13
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 61.7% → 62.5% +0.8 pp
Draw 20.6% → 20.6% -0.1 pp
Away 17.7% → 17.0% -0.8 pp
Over 2.5 59.8% → 60.5% +0.7 pp
Both teams to score 56.2% → 56.2% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.1 → 3.13 +0.03
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.13
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.49 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

62.5% 1.6 —
20.6% 4.86 —
17.0% 5.89 —
83.0% 1.2 —
37.5% 2.66 —
79.4% 1.26 —

Half-time result

38.1% 2.62 —
42.2% 2.37 —
19.7% 5.07 —

Half-time double chance

80.3% 1.25 —
61.9% 1.62 —
57.8% 1.73 —

Both halves

21.4% 4.68 —

HT/FT

33.5% 2.98 —
3.5% 28.82 —
23.8% 4.19 —
12.0% 8.34 —
6.3% 15.75 —
5.1% 19.61 —
5.1% 19.61 —
9.5% 10.53 —

HT/FT double chance

72.8% 1.37 —
64.8% 1.54 —
22.9% 4.36 —
47.2% 2.12 —
49.3% 2.03 —
19.2% 5.21 —
46.0% 2.17 —
44.8% 2.23 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Total goals

95.3% 1.05 —
81.8% 1.22 —
60.5% 1.65 —
38.3% 2.61 —
18.2% 5.5 —
39.5% 2.53 —
61.7% 1.62 —

1st-half goals

68.4% 1.46 —
32.3% 3.1 —

Home team goals

87.8% 1.14 —
62.7% 1.6 —

Away team goals

63.8% 1.57 —
26.9% 3.71 —

Both to score

56.2% 1.78 —

Corners

72.3% 1.38 —
61.5% 1.63 —
50.8% 1.97 —
40.5% 2.47 —
31.0% 3.22 —
38.5% 2.6 —
49.2% 2.03 —
59.5% 1.68 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Home corners

79.4% 1.26 —
66.4% 1.51 —
53.0% 1.89 —

Away corners

51.2% 1.95 —
34.4% 2.9 —
21.7% 4.6 —

Cards

78.2% 1.28 —
62.0% 1.61 —
44.8% 2.23 —
30.3% 3.3 —
38.0% 2.63 —
55.2% 1.81 —
69.7% 1.43 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds