Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-21
Lille – Lyon
Home
45%
2.24 fair
Draw
28%
3.63 fair
Away
28%
3.6 fair
Expected Goals2.4
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.5%
→
44.6%
+1.2 pp
Draw
26.2%
→
27.6%
+1.3 pp
Away
30.3%
→
27.8%
-2.5 pp
Over 2.5
46.6%
→
43.3%
-3.3 pp
Both teams to score
51.1%
→
48.0%
-3.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.55 →
2.4
-0.15
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
Both halves
| 11.7% | 8.58 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.69 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.65 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — |
Total goals
| 90.8% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.6 | — |
Both to score
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Corners
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Away corners
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — |
Cards
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds