Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-21
Lens – Toulouse
Home
54%
1.84 fair
Draw
24%
4.19 fair
Away
22%
4.58 fair
Expected Goals2.71
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.2%
→
54.3%
-1.8 pp
Draw
22.8%
→
23.8%
+1.1 pp
Away
21.1%
→
21.8%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
52.4%
→
50.9%
-1.4 pp
Both teams to score
51.9%
→
51.5%
-0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.77 →
2.71
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 17.3% | 5.78 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.96 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.46 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.82 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.2 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.73 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.8 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — |
Total goals
| 93.4% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — |
Both to score
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
Corners
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
Away corners
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — |
Cards
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds