Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-21
Nice – Paris SG
Home
19%
5.24 fair
Draw
21%
4.66 fair
Away
59%
1.68 fair
Expected Goals2.99
Most Likely Score0-2
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
17.3%
→
19.1%
+1.8 pp
Draw
21.2%
→
21.5%
+0.3 pp
Away
61.5%
→
59.4%
-2.1 pp
Over 2.5
56.9%
→
57.4%
+0.5 pp
Both teams to score
53.1%
→
54.7%
+1.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.97 →
2.99
+0.02
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 3.3% | 30.03 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.8% | 8.5 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.72 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.05 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.75 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.1 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.75 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.55 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.96 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.3 | — |
Home team goals
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Away team goals
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Both to score
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — |
Corners
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — |
Away corners
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — |
Cards
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds