Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-20

Troyes – Le Havre

Home 34% 2.96 fair
Draw 29% 3.43 fair
Away 37% 2.7 fair
Expected Goals2.21
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.2% → 33.8% +4.6 pp
Draw 25.5% → 29.1% +3.6 pp
Away 45.3% → 37.1% -8.2 pp
Over 2.5 48.2% → 38.2% -10.0 pp
Both teams to score 51.8% → 44.6% -7.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.61 → 2.21 -0.4
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.96 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.02 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.8% 2.96 —
29.1% 3.43 —
37.1% 2.7 —
62.9% 1.59 —
66.2% 1.51 —
70.9% 1.41 —

Half-time result

36.7% 2.72 —
43.0% 2.32 —
20.2% 4.94 —

Half-time double chance

79.8% 1.25 —
63.3% 1.58 —
57.0% 1.76 —

Both halves

6.9% 14.58 —

HT/FT

25.5% 3.92 —
8.1% 12.38 —
3.1% 31.85 —
7.8% 12.79 —
18.5% 5.41 —
16.7% 5.98 —
17.2% 5.82 —

HT/FT double chance

59.9% 1.67 —
53.2% 1.88 —
46.4% 2.15 —
36.6% 2.73 —
46.3% 2.16 —
31.0% 3.23 —
29.4% 3.4 —
42.2% 2.37 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Total goals

88.9% 1.12 —
64.6% 1.55 —
38.2% 2.61 —
18.4% 5.44 —
35.4% 2.82 —
61.8% 1.62 —
81.6% 1.23 —

1st-half goals

67.1% 1.49 —
30.4% 3.29 —

Home team goals

65.5% 1.53 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Away team goals

68.1% 1.47 —
31.1% 3.21 —

Both to score

44.6% 2.24 —

Corners

63.5% 1.58 —
51.8% 1.93 —
41.1% 2.43 —
31.0% 3.23 —
22.2% 4.5 —
48.2% 2.08 —
58.9% 1.7 —
69.0% 1.45 —
77.8% 1.29 —

Home corners

72.7% 1.38 —
58.1% 1.72 —
43.6% 2.29 —

Away corners

46.9% 2.13 —
30.3% 3.3 —
18.1% 5.52 —

Cards

72.2% 1.39 —
54.2% 1.84 —
37.4% 2.67 —
23.7% 4.21 —
45.8% 2.19 —
62.6% 1.6 —
76.2% 1.31 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds