Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-08 19:45
Lens – Marseille
Home
47%
2.13 fair
Draw
23%
4.31 fair
Away
30%
3.36 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Lens – Marseille
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Lens – Marseille
Expected Goals3.15
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.4%
→
47.0%
-0.4 pp
Draw
23.6%
→
23.2%
-0.4 pp
Away
28.9%
→
29.8%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
59.3%
→
60.9%
+1.6 pp
Both teams to score
60.7%
→
62.1%
+1.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.08 →
3.15
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 12.9% | 7.76 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.8% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.33 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.92 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 10.01 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.5 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.58 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Both to score
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Away corners
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — |
Cards
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds