Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-08 16:15
Le Mans – Monaco
Home
21%
4.73 fair
Draw
20%
5.01 fair
Away
59%
1.7 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Le Mans – Monaco
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Le Mans – Monaco
Expected Goals3.48
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.568%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.6%
→
21.1%
-13.4 pp
Draw
21.3%
→
20.0%
-1.3 pp
Away
44.1%
→
58.9%
+14.8 pp
Over 2.5
73.8%
→
67.6%
-6.2 pp
Both teams to score
72.6%
→
64.2%
-8.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.85 →
3.48
-0.37
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
Both halves
| 4.3% | 23.31 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.2% | 7.03 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.22 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.76 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.81 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 9.96 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 37.2% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.04 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
Total goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — |
Away team goals
| 89.2% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Both to score
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Corners
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.98 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — |
Home corners
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.66 | — |
Away corners
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Cards
| 77.8% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds