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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-08 16:15

Le Mans – Monaco

Home 21% 4.73 fair
Draw 20% 5.01 fair
Away 59% 1.7 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-2 Le Mans – Monaco
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Le Mans – Monaco
Expected Goals3.48
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.568%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.6% → 21.1% -13.4 pp
Draw 21.3% → 20.0% -1.3 pp
Away 44.1% → 58.9% +14.8 pp
Over 2.5 73.8% → 67.6% -6.2 pp
Both teams to score 72.6% → 64.2% -8.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.85 → 3.48 -0.37
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

21.1% 4.73 —
20.0% 5.01 —
58.9% 1.7 —
41.1% 2.43 —
78.9% 1.27 —
80.0% 1.25 —

Half-time result

28.5% 3.51 —
38.5% 2.59 —
33.0% 3.03 —

Half-time double chance

67.0% 1.49 —
71.5% 1.4 —
61.5% 1.63 —

Both halves

4.3% 23.31 —

HT/FT

14.2% 7.03 —
7.0% 14.22 —
7.3% 13.76 —
5.9% 16.81 —
10.0% 9.96 —
22.6% 4.43 —
29.1% 3.44 —

HT/FT double chance

37.2% 2.68 —
50.0% 2.0 —
46.9% 2.13 —
25.1% 3.98 —
51.5% 1.94 —
46.3% 2.16 —
19.8% 5.04 —
58.5% 1.71 —
64.6% 1.55 —

Total goals

96.9% 1.03 —
86.3% 1.16 —
67.6% 1.48 —
45.8% 2.18 —
13.7% 7.29 —
32.4% 3.09 —
54.2% 1.85 —

1st-half goals

75.1% 1.33 —
40.5% 2.47 —

Home team goals

71.8% 1.39 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Away team goals

89.2% 1.12 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Both to score

64.2% 1.56 —

Corners

60.6% 1.65 —
48.9% 2.05 —
37.8% 2.65 —
28.1% 3.56 —
20.1% 4.98 —
51.1% 1.96 —
62.2% 1.61 —
71.9% 1.39 —
79.9% 1.25 —

Home corners

51.0% 1.96 —
34.4% 2.9 —
21.5% 4.66 —

Away corners

66.8% 1.5 —
50.7% 1.97 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Cards

77.8% 1.28 —
61.3% 1.63 —
45.0% 2.22 —
30.5% 3.28 —
38.7% 2.58 —
55.0% 1.82 —
69.5% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds