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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-08 16:15

Brest – Lyon

Home 32% 3.15 fair
Draw 24% 4.13 fair
Away 44% 2.27 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Brest – Lyon
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 Brest – Lyon
Expected Goals2.94
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.5% → 31.8% +2.2 pp
Draw 23.9% → 24.2% +0.3 pp
Away 46.6% → 44.0% -2.5 pp
Over 2.5 57.0% → 56.6% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 59.6% → 59.4% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.98 → 2.94 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.02 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.29 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.8% 3.15 —
24.2% 4.13 —
44.0% 2.27 —
56.0% 1.79 —
68.2% 1.47 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Half-time result

29.1% 3.43 —
38.1% 2.62 —
32.8% 3.05 —

Half-time double chance

67.2% 1.49 —
70.9% 1.41 —
61.9% 1.62 —

Both halves

7.3% 13.61 —

HT/FT

20.1% 4.98 —
5.8% 17.15 —
3.2% 30.96 —
9.9% 10.11 —
13.7% 7.32 —
14.5% 6.88 —
4.7% 21.23 —
26.3% 3.81 —

HT/FT double chance

49.5% 2.02 —
47.8% 2.09 —
37.3% 2.68 —
32.4% 3.09 —
51.3% 1.95 —
40.0% 2.5 —
30.0% 3.33 —
52.5% 1.91 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Total goals

95.0% 1.05 —
79.2% 1.26 —
56.6% 1.77 —
33.9% 2.95 —
20.7% 4.82 —
43.4% 2.3 —
66.1% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

75.7% 1.32 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Home team goals

73.9% 1.35 —
38.6% 2.59 —

Away team goals

80.5% 1.24 —
47.6% 2.1 —

Both to score

59.4% 1.68 —

Corners

73.4% 1.36 —
62.9% 1.59 —
52.0% 1.92 —
41.6% 2.41 —
32.1% 3.11 —
37.0% 2.7 —
48.0% 2.09 —
58.4% 1.71 —
67.9% 1.47 —

Home corners

66.5% 1.5 —
50.6% 1.98 —
35.8% 2.8 —

Away corners

70.5% 1.42 —
55.3% 1.81 —
40.9% 2.45 —

Cards

75.5% 1.32 —
58.0% 1.72 —
42.0% 2.38 —
27.9% 3.59 —
42.0% 2.38 —
58.0% 1.72 —
72.1% 1.39 —

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