Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-07 20:05
Paris SG – Troyes
Home
89%
1.12 fair
Draw
8%
13.12 fair
Away
3%
33.22 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
3-0
Paris SG – Troyes
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Paris SG – Troyes
Expected Goals3.95
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.575%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
91.6%
→
89.4%
-2.2 pp
Draw
5.8%
→
7.6%
+1.9 pp
Away
2.7%
→
3.0%
+0.3 pp
Over 2.5
82.9%
→
75.2%
-7.8 pp
Both teams to score
45.5%
→
41.3%
-4.3 pp
Expected Goals
4.54 →
3.95
-0.59
Most Likely Score
3-0
→
3-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.12 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 97.0% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.42 | — | |||
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — |
Half-time result
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.54 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
Both halves
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
HT/FT
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 24.1 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.3 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.57 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.22 | — |
Total goals
| 90.3% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.3 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — |
Home team goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.39 | — |
Both to score
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Corners
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Home corners
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Away corners
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — |
Cards
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.32 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds