Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-07 18:00
Auxerre – Paris FC
Home
29%
3.42 fair
Draw
26%
3.88 fair
Away
45%
2.22 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Auxerre – Paris FC
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Auxerre – Paris FC
Expected Goals2.7
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
31.4%
→
29.3%
-2.1 pp
Draw
26.8%
→
25.8%
-1.0 pp
Away
41.9%
→
45.0%
+3.1 pp
Over 2.5
45.7%
→
50.4%
+4.7 pp
Both teams to score
50.6%
→
54.4%
+3.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.5 →
2.7
+0.2
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 6.0% | 16.67 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.4% | 6.95 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.0 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.39 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.3 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.3 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Total goals
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — |
Both to score
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Corners
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — |
Away corners
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — |
Cards
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds