Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-06 19:45
Toulouse – Strasbourg
Home
40%
2.49 fair
Draw
25%
4.06 fair
Away
35%
2.84 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Toulouse – Strasbourg
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Toulouse – Strasbourg
Expected Goals2.95
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.9%
→
40.1%
+1.2 pp
Draw
24.2%
→
24.6%
+0.5 pp
Away
36.9%
→
35.3%
-1.7 pp
Over 2.5
57.4%
→
56.9%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
60.2%
→
59.2%
-1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.98 →
2.95
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 10.1% | 9.89 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.94 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.94 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.89 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.97 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.31 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.29 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — |
Both to score
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.23 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — |
Home corners
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — |
Away corners
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.22 | — |
Cards
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds