Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-01 19:45
Marseille – Toulouse
Home
54%
1.84 fair
Draw
22%
4.54 fair
Away
24%
4.24 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Marseille – Toulouse
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Marseille – Toulouse
Expected Goals3.21
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.5%
→
54.4%
-1.1 pp
Draw
21.9%
→
22.0%
+0.1 pp
Away
22.6%
→
23.6%
+1.0 pp
Over 2.5
60.6%
→
61.9%
+1.3 pp
Both teams to score
59.5%
→
60.7%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.14 →
3.21
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.19 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.2 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.56 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.17 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.11 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.93 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.08 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
Total goals
| 95.7% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.9% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — |
Both to score
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Corners
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — |
Home corners
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Away corners
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.57 | — |
Cards
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds