Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-31 19:45
Troyes – Le Mans
Home
22%
4.57 fair
Draw
23%
4.4 fair
Away
55%
1.81 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Troyes – Le Mans
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Troyes – Le Mans
Expected Goals2.94
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
19.8%
→
21.9%
+2.1 pp
Draw
18.7%
→
22.7%
+4.0 pp
Away
61.6%
→
55.4%
-6.2 pp
Over 2.5
74.4%
→
56.3%
-18.1 pp
Both teams to score
69.2%
→
56.0%
-13.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.9 →
2.94
-0.96
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 4.1% | 24.63 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.25 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.14 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.7 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.35 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.36 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Both to score
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Corners
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — |
Away corners
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — |
Cards
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds