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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-29

Mallorca – Castellon

Home 49% 2.04 fair
Draw 29% 3.4 fair
Away 22% 4.65 fair
Expected Goals1.97
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score37%
Over 2.531%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 49.3% → 49.1% -0.2 pp
Draw 32.5% → 29.4% -3.1 pp
Away 18.3% → 21.5% +3.2 pp
Over 2.5 24.3% → 31.5% +7.1 pp
Both teams to score 29.8% → 36.6% +6.8 pp
Expected Goals 1.7 → 1.97 +0.27
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.43 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.1% 2.04 —
29.4% 3.4 —
21.5% 4.65 —
78.5% 1.27 —
50.9% 1.97 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Half-time result

29.2% 3.42 —
57.5% 1.74 —
13.3% 7.51 —

Half-time double chance

86.7% 1.15 —
70.8% 1.41 —
42.5% 2.35 —

Both halves

11.9% 8.42 —

HT/FT

24.0% 4.16 —
4.1% 24.33 —
23.4% 4.27 —
21.9% 4.58 —
12.2% 8.22 —
3.4% 29.24 —
8.2% 12.14 —

HT/FT double chance

73.4% 1.36 —
60.7% 1.65 —
39.2% 2.55 —
33.2% 3.01 —
35.0% 2.85 —
16.9% 5.93 —
50.4% 1.99 —
45.5% 2.2 —
45.7% 2.19 —

Total goals

86.2% 1.16 —
58.6% 1.71 —
31.5% 3.18 —
13.7% 7.31 —
41.4% 2.41 —
68.5% 1.46 —
86.3% 1.16 —

1st-half goals

47.7% 2.1 —
13.7% 7.28 —

Home team goals

71.3% 1.4 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Away team goals

51.4% 1.95 —
16.0% 6.26 —

Both to score

36.6% 2.73 —

Corners

68.3% 1.46 —
57.0% 1.76 —
45.7% 2.19 —
35.6% 2.81 —
26.8% 3.74 —
43.0% 2.33 —
54.3% 1.84 —
64.4% 1.55 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Home corners

67.4% 1.48 —
50.8% 1.97 —
35.8% 2.8 —

Away corners

63.5% 1.57 —
46.7% 2.14 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Cards

87.1% 1.15 —
74.8% 1.34 —
59.9% 1.67 —
44.7% 2.24 —
25.2% 3.97 —
40.1% 2.49 —
55.3% 1.81 —

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