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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-29

Granada – Ceuta

Home 65% 1.54 fair
Draw 20% 5.04 fair
Away 15% 6.63 fair
Expected Goals3.04
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 59.6% → 65.0% +5.5 pp
Draw 21.2% → 19.9% -1.3 pp
Away 19.2% → 15.1% -4.1 pp
Over 2.5 59.6% → 58.5% -1.1 pp
Both teams to score 56.7% → 52.7% -3.9 pp
Expected Goals 3.08 → 3.04 -0.04
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.88 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.46 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

65.0% 1.54 —
19.9% 5.04 —
15.1% 6.63 —
84.9% 1.18 —
34.9% 2.86 —
80.1% 1.25 —

Half-time result

45.9% 2.18 —
35.3% 2.83 —
18.8% 5.33 —

Half-time double chance

81.2% 1.23 —
54.1% 1.85 —
64.7% 1.55 —

Both halves

25.1% 3.98 —

HT/FT

41.9% 2.38 —
3.3% 30.21 —
19.4% 5.16 —
11.5% 8.7 —
4.4% 22.62 —
3.7% 26.81 —
5.1% 19.8 —
10.0% 10.01 —

HT/FT double chance

76.1% 1.31 —
66.4% 1.51 —
19.9% 5.02 —
54.0% 1.85 —
56.4% 1.77 —
19.0% 5.25 —
39.6% 2.52 —
37.5% 2.67 —
30.9% 3.23 —

Total goals

95.0% 1.05 —
80.5% 1.24 —
58.5% 1.71 —
36.4% 2.75 —
19.6% 5.12 —
41.5% 2.41 —
63.6% 1.57 —

1st-half goals

77.0% 1.3 —
43.7% 2.29 —

Home team goals

87.7% 1.14 —
62.6% 1.6 —

Away team goals

60.0% 1.67 —
23.2% 4.31 —

Both to score

52.7% 1.9 —

Corners

63.0% 1.59 —
51.2% 1.95 —
40.1% 2.5 —
29.8% 3.36 —
21.0% 4.76 —
48.8% 2.05 —
59.9% 1.67 —
70.2% 1.42 —
79.0% 1.27 —

Home corners

67.2% 1.49 —
50.8% 1.97 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Away corners

54.4% 1.84 —
37.0% 2.7 —
23.6% 4.23 —

Cards

87.4% 1.14 —
75.4% 1.33 —
60.3% 1.66 —
44.8% 2.23 —
24.6% 4.07 —
39.7% 2.52 —
55.2% 1.81 —

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