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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-29

Almeria – Sp Gijon

Home 58% 1.72 fair
Draw 21% 4.75 fair
Away 21% 4.83 fair
Expected Goals3.17
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 54.7% → 58.2% +3.5 pp
Draw 22.2% → 21.1% -1.2 pp
Away 23.0% → 20.7% -2.3 pp
Over 2.5 60.7% → 61.1% +0.5 pp
Both teams to score 59.5% → 58.7% -0.8 pp
Expected Goals 3.13 → 3.17 +0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.57 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.51 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.2% 1.72 —
21.1% 4.75 —
20.7% 4.83 —
79.3% 1.26 —
41.8% 2.39 —
78.9% 1.27 —

Half-time result

45.3% 2.21 —
37.5% 2.66 —
17.1% 5.83 —

Half-time double chance

82.9% 1.21 —
54.7% 1.83 —
62.5% 1.6 —

Both halves

20.6% 4.86 —

HT/FT

38.2% 2.62 —
5.1% 19.61 —
17.1% 5.86 —
11.9% 8.42 —
8.6% 11.64 —
4.1% 24.39 —
10.1% 9.92 —

HT/FT double chance

72.2% 1.38 —
65.9% 1.52 —
27.6% 3.62 —
50.3% 1.99 —
53.3% 1.88 —
21.3% 4.69 —
36.0% 2.78 —
38.7% 2.58 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Total goals

95.7% 1.04 —
82.2% 1.22 —
61.1% 1.64 —
39.0% 2.56 —
17.8% 5.63 —
38.9% 2.57 —
61.0% 1.64 —

1st-half goals

73.8% 1.35 —
39.4% 2.54 —

Home team goals

86.8% 1.15 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Away team goals

67.6% 1.48 —
31.1% 3.21 —

Both to score

58.7% 1.7 —

Corners

69.6% 1.44 —
58.7% 1.7 —
47.4% 2.11 —
37.0% 2.7 —
27.8% 3.6 —
41.3% 2.42 —
52.5% 1.9 —
63.0% 1.59 —
72.2% 1.39 —

Home corners

75.3% 1.33 —
61.1% 1.64 —
45.9% 2.18 —

Away corners

54.6% 1.83 —
37.5% 2.67 —
23.7% 4.22 —

Cards

87.5% 1.14 —
75.4% 1.33 —
60.8% 1.65 —
45.7% 2.19 —
24.6% 4.06 —
39.2% 2.55 —
54.3% 1.84 —

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