Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-30 20:05
Lille – Lens
Home
40%
2.5 fair
Draw
28%
3.57 fair
Away
32%
3.13 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Lille – Lens
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Lille – Lens
Expected Goals2.38
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.5%
→
40.0%
-0.4 pp
Draw
27.5%
→
28.0%
+0.5 pp
Away
32.0%
→
32.0%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
43.5%
→
42.3%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
49.1%
→
48.3%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.41 →
2.38
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — |
Both halves
| 10.2% | 9.83 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.33 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.62 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — |
Total goals
| 90.6% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — |
Both to score
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Corners
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — |
Away corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — |
Cards
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds