Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-30 18:00
Le Havre – Paris SG
Home
12%
8.35 fair
Draw
18%
5.65 fair
Away
70%
1.42 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-2
Le Havre – Paris SG
FINAL
Actual Result
1–5
Le Havre – Paris SG
Expected Goals3.02
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
12.2%
→
12.0%
-0.2 pp
Draw
19.1%
→
17.7%
-1.4 pp
Away
68.7%
→
70.3%
+1.6 pp
Over 2.5
56.5%
→
58.0%
+1.5 pp
Both teams to score
48.3%
→
48.1%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.95 →
3.02
+0.07
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — |
Half-time result
| 10.5% | 9.48 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
HT/FT
| 5.2% | 19.34 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.51 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.38 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.04 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.63 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — |
Total goals
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — |
Home team goals
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Both to score
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
Corners
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.74 | — |
Away corners
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Cards
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.83 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds