Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-25 19:45
Paris SG – Lyon
Home
62%
1.62 fair
Draw
20%
5.04 fair
Away
18%
5.46 fair
Expected Goals3.23
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.6%
→
61.8%
+0.3 pp
Draw
20.4%
→
19.9%
-0.6 pp
Away
18.0%
→
18.3%
+0.3 pp
Over 2.5
62.6%
→
62.5%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
58.7%
→
58.5%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.24 →
3.23
-0.01
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.04 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.46 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.46 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.04 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.08 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.13 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.81 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.69 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.93 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — |
Total goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — |
Both to score
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Corners
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Away corners
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — |
Cards
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds