Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-25 16:15
Marseille – Le Havre
Home
67%
1.5 fair
Draw
19%
5.15 fair
Away
14%
7.11 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Marseille – Le Havre
FINAL
Actual Result
4–3
Marseille – Le Havre
Expected Goals3.01
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
64.3%
→
66.5%
+2.2 pp
Draw
20.5%
→
19.4%
-1.1 pp
Away
15.1%
→
14.1%
-1.1 pp
Over 2.5
56.6%
→
58.1%
+1.4 pp
Both teams to score
51.5%
→
51.3%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.96 →
3.01
+0.05
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.11 | — | |||
| 85.9% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.25 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.9% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 25.3% | 3.96 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.88 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.45 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.35 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.81 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.82 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — |
Total goals
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.1% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — |
Both to score
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — |
Corners
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Away corners
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — |
Cards
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds