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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-29

Sociedad – Sevilla

Home 53% 1.88 fair
Draw 23% 4.37 fair
Away 24% 4.17 fair
Expected Goals3.04
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.2% → 53.1% +3.0 pp
Draw 24.1% → 22.9% -1.2 pp
Away 25.7% → 24.0% -1.7 pp
Over 2.5 53.1% → 58.4% +5.3 pp
Both teams to score 54.9% → 58.5% +3.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.81 → 3.04 +0.23
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.36 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.61 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.1% 1.88 —
22.9% 4.37 —
24.0% 4.17 —
76.0% 1.32 —
46.9% 2.13 —
77.1% 1.3 —

Half-time result

46.5% 2.15 —
35.9% 2.79 —
17.6% 5.67 —

Half-time double chance

82.4% 1.21 —
53.5% 1.87 —
64.1% 1.56 —

Both halves

17.6% 5.68 —

HT/FT

37.4% 2.67 —
6.6% 15.06 —
13.6% 7.36 —
12.3% 8.1 —
10.0% 10.04 —
3.9% 25.58 —
11.6% 8.66 —

HT/FT double chance

70.0% 1.43 —
63.4% 1.58 —
31.4% 3.19 —
50.1% 2.0 —
53.6% 1.87 —
24.6% 4.07 —
32.0% 3.13 —
37.2% 2.68 —
37.8% 2.65 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
80.4% 1.24 —
58.4% 1.71 —
36.4% 2.75 —
19.6% 5.11 —
41.6% 2.41 —
63.6% 1.57 —

1st-half goals

75.5% 1.32 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Home team goals

84.2% 1.19 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Away team goals

69.5% 1.44 —
33.1% 3.02 —

Both to score

58.5% 1.71 —

Corners

67.2% 1.49 —
56.1% 1.78 —
45.2% 2.21 —
34.9% 2.86 —
26.1% 3.84 —
43.9% 2.28 —
54.8% 1.83 —
65.0% 1.54 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Home corners

74.2% 1.35 —
60.0% 1.67 —
46.0% 2.18 —

Away corners

50.8% 1.97 —
34.5% 2.9 —
21.1% 4.73 —

Cards

85.9% 1.16 —
73.6% 1.36 —
60.2% 1.66 —
46.5% 2.15 —
26.5% 3.78 —
39.8% 2.51 —
53.5% 1.87 —

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