Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-29
Celta – Villarreal
Home
36%
2.79 fair
Draw
25%
4.0 fair
Away
39%
2.55 fair
Expected Goals2.82
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.0%
→
35.9%
-2.1 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
25.0%
+1.0 pp
Away
38.0%
→
39.1%
+1.1 pp
Over 2.5
60.3%
→
53.4%
-6.9 pp
Both teams to score
62.4%
→
57.2%
-5.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.12 →
2.82
-0.3
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 8.9% | 11.22 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.69 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.1 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.12 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.48 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Total goals
| 94.4% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — |
Both to score
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.12 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Home corners
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
Away corners
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — |
Cards
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds