Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-24 18:45
Lens – Paris FC
Home
51%
1.96 fair
Draw
25%
4.05 fair
Away
24%
4.11 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Lens – Paris FC
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Lens – Paris FC
Expected Goals2.76
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.7%
→
51.0%
+1.3 pp
Draw
25.2%
→
24.7%
-0.5 pp
Away
25.1%
→
24.3%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
50.0%
→
51.9%
+1.9 pp
Both teams to score
52.3%
→
54.0%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.67 →
2.76
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Both halves
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.86 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 13.04 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.53 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.95 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.38 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Total goals
| 93.4% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — |
Both to score
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
Corners
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — |
Away corners
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — |
Cards
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds