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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-24 15:15

Toulouse – Troyes

Home 74% 1.36 fair
Draw 16% 6.12 fair
Away 10% 9.87 fair
Expected Goals3.22
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 70.2% → 73.6% +3.4 pp
Draw 17.3% → 16.3% -1.0 pp
Away 12.5% → 10.1% -2.4 pp
Over 2.5 62.8% → 62.2% -0.6 pp
Both teams to score 52.9% → 49.3% -3.6 pp
Expected Goals 3.24 → 3.22 -0.02
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.18 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.72 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

73.6% 1.36 —
16.3% 6.12 —
10.1% 9.87 —
89.9% 1.11 —
26.5% 3.78 —
83.7% 1.2 —

Half-time result

39.7% 2.52 —
39.2% 2.55 —
21.1% 4.75 —

Half-time double chance

78.9% 1.27 —
60.3% 1.66 —
60.8% 1.65 —

Both halves

28.6% 3.49 —

HT/FT

38.0% 2.64 —
28.0% 3.57 —
8.9% 11.24 —
7.6% 13.14 —
5.9% 17.01 —
7.6% 13.21 —

HT/FT double chance

76.4% 1.31 —
68.5% 1.46 —
13.0% 7.69 —
53.0% 1.89 —
53.4% 1.87 —
15.2% 6.57 —
50.4% 1.98 —
45.5% 2.2 —
24.7% 4.05 —

Total goals

95.7% 1.05 —
83.0% 1.2 —
62.2% 1.61 —
40.0% 2.5 —
17.0% 5.89 —
37.8% 2.65 —
60.0% 1.67 —

1st-half goals

72.8% 1.37 —
37.7% 2.65 —

Home team goals

91.0% 1.1 —
69.6% 1.44 —

Away team goals

53.9% 1.85 —
18.7% 5.35 —

Both to score

49.3% 2.03 —

Corners

65.2% 1.53 —
53.7% 1.86 —
43.1% 2.32 —
33.1% 3.02 —
24.3% 4.12 —
46.3% 2.16 —
56.9% 1.76 —
66.9% 1.5 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Home corners

58.4% 1.71 —
41.6% 2.4 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Away corners

66.9% 1.49 —
51.0% 1.96 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Cards

67.9% 1.47 —
49.1% 2.04 —
31.9% 3.13 —
19.4% 5.16 —
50.9% 1.96 —
68.1% 1.47 —
80.6% 1.24 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds