Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-23 18:45
Brest – Nice
Home
44%
2.26 fair
Draw
25%
4.05 fair
Away
31%
3.22 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Brest – Nice
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Brest – Nice
Expected Goals2.84
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.9%
→
44.2%
+2.3 pp
Draw
25.5%
→
24.7%
-0.8 pp
Away
32.6%
→
31.1%
-1.6 pp
Over 2.5
51.7%
→
54.0%
+2.2 pp
Both teams to score
55.5%
→
57.2%
+1.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.76 →
2.84
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
Both halves
| 12.4% | 8.08 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.8 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 8.98 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.9 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.44 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.34 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Total goals
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Both to score
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.25 | — |
Away corners
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Cards
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds