Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-18 18:45
Lyon – Nice
Home
56%
1.79 fair
Draw
23%
4.33 fair
Away
21%
4.75 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Lyon – Nice
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Lyon – Nice
Expected Goals2.8
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.8%
→
55.9%
-0.9 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
23.1%
+0.6 pp
Away
20.7%
→
21.1%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
53.4%
→
53.0%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
52.9%
→
52.7%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.81 →
2.8
-0.01
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.42 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.62 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.4 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.05 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.54 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — |
Total goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.66 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — |
Both to score
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
Home corners
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — |
Away corners
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Cards
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds