Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-18 15:15
Lorient – Monaco
Home
31%
3.2 fair
Draw
24%
4.18 fair
Away
45%
2.23 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Lorient – Monaco
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Lorient – Monaco
Expected Goals3.07
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
29.8%
→
31.3%
+1.5 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
23.9%
-0.1 pp
Away
46.2%
→
44.8%
-1.4 pp
Over 2.5
59.9%
→
59.4%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
61.6%
→
61.0%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.1 →
3.07
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 7.2% | 13.87 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.3 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.67 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.19 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.33 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.27 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
Total goals
| 95.4% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
Both to score
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Corners
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.51 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — |
Away corners
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — |
Cards
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds