Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-18 13:00
Angers – Marseille
Home
20%
4.89 fair
Draw
23%
4.29 fair
Away
56%
1.78 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Angers – Marseille
FINAL
Actual Result
2–5
Angers – Marseille
Expected Goals2.69
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
21.4%
→
20.4%
-1.0 pp
Draw
23.7%
→
23.3%
-0.4 pp
Away
54.9%
→
56.3%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
49.3%
→
50.8%
+1.5 pp
Both teams to score
50.4%
→
50.3%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.65 →
2.69
+0.04
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 12.2% | 8.18 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Both halves
| 3.4% | 29.59 | — |
HT/FT
| 7.8% | 12.82 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.51 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.04 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.08 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.26 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Total goals
| 93.3% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — |
Home team goals
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — |
Away team goals
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — |
Both to score
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — |
Corners
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — |
Away corners
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — |
Cards
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds